Updating election map

26-Feb-2017 17:34

Trump might argue that the outcome showed that voters had profoundly rejected the status quo — and what could be a bigger rejection of the status quo than a President Trump?But more importantly, he’d have a sympathetic audience, since Republicans are likely to control the majority of congressional delegations.Iowa voted for Republican businessman Donald Trump in Tuesday’s presidential election.• Comey Tells House Committee that Obama Didn't Tap Trump's Phone • White House Goes Into Full Spin Mode • NSA Director Complains that Trump is Undermining U. Alliances • Trump Didn't Work on the Healthcare Bill During the Past Weekend • Ryan Scrounging Up Votes for AHCA One at a Time • Neither the ACA nor the AHCA Tackle the Problem of Controlling Healthcare Costs • Gorsuch Makes Senate Debut • Trump Drops to No.544 on List of Richest Americans FBI Director James Comey told the House Intelligence Committee yesterday that the FBI is looking into Trump-Russia collusion but he didn't have much to say about it now.He did have something to say about President Donald Trump's claim that Barack Obama tapped his phone during the campaign, namely that he has no evidence to support such a claim. Here are a few of the headlines, which are linked to the stories in each newspaper.While there is no smoking gun here, there could be once the FBI concludes its investigation. might try to quash any such report, but it is unlikely to be successful if it tries.

That could lead to an Electoral College deadlock that looks like this: In this map, via 270towin.com, Clinton has 267 electoral votes, Trump has 266, and Johnson has New Mexico’s five.There was one poll that caught our eye, though, and it was from New Mexico. for the Albuquerque Journal, showed a competitive three-way matchup, with Clinton at 35 percent, Trump at 31 percent, and former New Mexico Gov. Because New Mexico hasn’t been polled much, the survey had a fair amount of influence on our forecast, reducing Clinton’s chances of winning New Mexico to 82 percent from 85 percent in the polls-only model.Most of the time, Trump would be the beneficiary of a Clinton loss in New Mexico.That’s what our models have accounted for so far, enough to make her a 67 percent favorite according to our polls-only forecast and a 64 percent favorite according to polls-plus.Or her bounce could prove to be larger than that, especially given that Trump has woken up to — or stayed up all night tweeting about — a host of bad stories in the week since the debate.

That could lead to an Electoral College deadlock that looks like this: In this map, via 270towin.com, Clinton has 267 electoral votes, Trump has 266, and Johnson has New Mexico’s five.There was one poll that caught our eye, though, and it was from New Mexico. for the Albuquerque Journal, showed a competitive three-way matchup, with Clinton at 35 percent, Trump at 31 percent, and former New Mexico Gov. Because New Mexico hasn’t been polled much, the survey had a fair amount of influence on our forecast, reducing Clinton’s chances of winning New Mexico to 82 percent from 85 percent in the polls-only model.Most of the time, Trump would be the beneficiary of a Clinton loss in New Mexico.That’s what our models have accounted for so far, enough to make her a 67 percent favorite according to our polls-only forecast and a 64 percent favorite according to polls-plus.Or her bounce could prove to be larger than that, especially given that Trump has woken up to — or stayed up all night tweeting about — a host of bad stories in the week since the debate.But the poll showed Johnson (and Green Party nominee Jill Stein) taking disproportionately from Clinton’s support instead of Trump’s. It’s not far-fetched to think the Electoral College would be close enough that New Mexico would make the difference, and it’s not totally crazy to think that Johnson could win his home state. In 20,000 simulations of our polls-only model this morning, cases in which neither Clinton nor Trump received a majority of electoral votes and Johnson received at least one came up just 30 times, putting the chances at 0.15 percent.